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Russian central bank survey: the average key interest rate in 2024 is expected to be 17.5%, compared with the previous forecast of 17.3%. The average key interest rate in 2025 is expected to be 21.3%, compared with the previous forecast of 18%.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Summary of the announcement of the change of the connected stocks, 12 connected food: the company's P/E ratio and P/B ratio are significantly higher than the industry average; 8 days and 7 boards construction industry: the current P/E ratio and P/B ratio of the company are quite different from those of the same industry; 6 Lianban Shandong Glass Fiber: The company's stock may have the risk of falling sharply in the short term; 4 Lianban Tianyu Bio: The current P/B ratio of the company is higher than the average level of the same industry; 2 Lianban Lexin Technology: There is no plan to set foot in a specific machine business; 2 Lianban Guosheng Financial Holdings: The merger and acquisition matters still need to be approved by China Securities Regulatory Commission.

Shuang Jie Electric: The controlling shareholder, actual controller and their concerted actions terminated the agreement to transfer part of the company's shares. Shuang Jie Electric announced that the controlling shareholder, actual controller Zhao Zhihong and their concerted actions Zhao Zhixing and Zhao Zhihao reached an agreement with Hangzhou Yingxin Enterprise Management Partnership (Limited Partnership) on the termination of the agreement to transfer part of the company's shares, and signed the Agreement on the Dissolution of the Share Transfer Agreement. According to the information previously disclosed, Zhao Zhihong, Zhao Zhixing and Zhao Zhihao intend to transfer 54 million shares of the company's unrestricted shares to Hangzhou Yingxin by agreement transfer, accounting for 6.76% of the company's total share capital. Due to the change of objective conditions, both parties decided to terminate the transfer of this share agreement, and they will not be liable for breach of contract.The institution is optimistic about these stocks today. On December 11th, as of press time, the institution gave 22 latest buy ratings, among which the target price of 8 stocks was announced:-Steady Medical was optimistic about Huatai Securities, giving a target price of 48.44 yuan; -Hongqi Chain was favored by CITIC Securities, with a target price of 6.80 yuan; -Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Jinshiyuan, Fulongma and many other stocks are listed.German Chancellor Angela Scholz proposed a vote of confidence. On December 11th, local time, German Chancellor Angela Scholz issued a statement saying that she had formally submitted a vote of confidence to German Bundestag Speaker Babel Bass. It is expected that the Bundestag will begin to discuss and vote at 13: 00 on December 16th. If Scholz doesn't get an absolute majority of 367 votes in the vote, he will fail in the vote of confidence. In this case, Scholz will propose that the President dissolve Parliament and advance the Bundestag election scheduled for September 28th next year to February 23rd next year. Due to the lack of "trust foundation for cooperation", Scholz announced on November 6th that it would dismiss lindner, chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party, as finance minister, and then the Liberal Democratic Party announced its withdrawal from the current coalition government. This means that the ruling coalition of the Social Democratic Party led by Scholz, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Green Party has split. (CCTV News)

Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.This week, the personal pension expansion policy will be announced, "the time point may be December 12". It was learned from insiders that the personal pension expansion policy will be announced this week, "the time point may be December 12". According to industry insiders, the personal pension pilot will be fully liberalized in the near future, expanding from the original 36 pilot cities to the whole country. At the same time, personal pension fund products are also expanding, and some mature broad-based ETF-linked funds and broad-based index OTC products will add Y shares. (21 Finance)Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.